Profits at Tilly’s Inc. fell 43.0 percent in the second quarter as sales declined 16 percent. Second-quarter results exceeded internal expectations given that stores were closed for parts of the quarter, but Tilly’s warned that third-quarter sales have been “significantly impacted” by delayed back-to-school selling.

“I am very proud of our team’s efforts managing through the unanticipated challenges we faced during the quarter,” commented Ed Thomas, President and Chief Executive Officer. “Our second-quarter results were much better than we anticipated considering that the quarter started with all stores closed. The third quarter has been significantly impacted by the delay in back-to-school dates thus far, but we continue to carefully manage our inventory levels and expenses to protect our long-term health to the best of our ability in this largely unpredictable environment.”

Second Quarter Results Overview
The following comparisons refer to operating results for the second quarter of fiscal 2020 versus the second quarter of fiscal 2019 ended August 3, 2019:

  • Total net sales were $135.8 million, a decrease of $25.9 million, or 16.0 percent, compared to $161.7 million last year. As previously announced, the company began the second quarter with all 239 of its stores closed to the public as a result of the impacts of COVID-19. Beginning on May 15, 2020, the company began reopening its stores in a phased approach. The company reopened 144 of its stores during the second half of May, 88 more stores throughout the month of June, and 3 additional stores in early July to reach 235, or 98 percent, of total stores reopened. Following California state direction on July 13 to close indoor malls, the company had 33 of its 98 California stores closed for the remainder of the quarter. Net sales from physical stores for the second quarter of fiscal 2020 were $83.9 million, a decrease of $55.1 million, or 39.6 percent, compared to $138.9 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2019. Net sales from stores represented 61.7 percent of total net sales for the quarter compared to 85.9 percent of total net sales last year. Net sales from e-commerce for the second quarter of fiscal 2020 were $52.0 million, an increase of $29.2 million, or 127.8 percent, compared to $22.8 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2019. E-commerce net sales represented 38.3 percent of total net sales for the quarter compared to 14.1 percent last year. The company ended the second quarter of fiscal 2020 with 238 total stores, including one RSQ-branded pop-up store, of which 33 California stores were closed, compared to 229 total stores, including three RSQ-branded pop-up stores, all of which were open to the public without restrictions last year.
  • Gross profit was $41.7 million, or 30.7 percent of net sales, compared to $51.7 million, or 32.0 percent of net sales last year. Product margins improved 360 basis points as a percentage of net sales primarily due to strong regular-priced selling upon the reopening of stores. Buying, distribution and occupancy costs deleveraged by 490 basis points collectively against lower total sales. Occupancy costs deleveraged 270 basis points as a percentage of net sales, despite being $0.4 million lower than last year, against lower total net sales. Distribution costs deleveraged 200 basis points as a percentage of net sales primarily due to an increase in e-commerce shipping costs of $3.0 million resulting from a greater volume of e-commerce orders. Buying costs deleveraged 20 basis points as a percentage of net sales.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) were $34.0 million, or 25.0 percent of net sales, compared to $39.6 million, or 24.5 percent of net sales, last year. The $5.6 million decrease in SG&A was primarily due to reduced store payroll and related benefits expenses of $7.5 million resulting from the various periods of store closures during the quarter and reduced staffing levels upon reopening of stores. Most other expenses were also reduced compared to last year. These expense decreases were partially offset by higher e-commerce marketing and fulfillment expenses of approximately $3.9 million associated with significant growth in e-commerce orders compared to last year.
  • Operating income was $7.7 million, or 5.7 percent of net sales, compared to operating income of $12.1 million, or 7.5 percent of net sales, last year. The decrease in operating income was primarily attributable to the impacts of COVID-19 on its business as noted above.
    Income tax expense was $2.8 million, or 34.3 percent of pre-tax income, compared to $3.4 million, or 26.8 percent of pre-tax income, last year. Income tax expense for both periods includes certain discrete items associated with employee stock-based award activity. The increase in the effective income tax rate for fiscal 2020 is primarily due to the anticipated benefit from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act enacted on March 27, 2020 (the “CARES Act”), which provides for net operating losses in fiscal 2020 to be carried back to earlier tax years with higher tax rates than the current year.
  • Net income was $5.3 million, or $0.18 per diluted share, compared to $9.3 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, last year.

First Half Results Overview
The following comparisons refer to operating results for the first half of fiscal 2020 versus the first half of fiscal 2019 ended August 3, 2019:

  • Total net sales were $213.1 million, a decrease of $78.9 million, or 27.0 percent, compared to $292.0 million last year. All 239 of the company’s stores were closed effective March 18, 2020, as a result of impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and remained closed until reopened as noted above.
  • Net sales from physical stores were $130.8 million, a decrease of $118.7 million, or 47.6 percent, compared to $249.6 million last year. Net sales from stores represented 61.4 percent of total net sales compared to 85.5 percent of total net sales last year. Net sales from e-commerce were $82.3 million, an increase of $39.8 million, or 93.8 percent compared to approximately $42.5 million last year. E-commerce net sales represented 38.6 percent of total net sales compared to 14.5 percent last year.
  • Gross profit was $43.3 million, or 20.3 percent of net sales, compared to $87.4 million, or 29.9 percent of net sales last year. Product margins decreased 50 basis points as a percentage of net sales primarily due to increased markdowns. Occupancy costs deleveraged 600 basis points as a percentage of net sales, despite being $0.8 million lower than last year, against lower total net sales. Distribution costs deleveraged 280 basis points as a percentage of net sales primarily due to an increase in e-commerce shipping charges of $3.9 million resulting from a greater volume of e-commerce orders. Buying costs deleveraged 40 basis points as a percentage of net sales despite being flat in dollars compared to last year.
  • SG&A expenses were $64.0 million, or 30.0 percent of net sales, compared to $75.1 million, or 25.7 percent of net sales, last year. The $11.2 million decrease in SG&A was primarily due to reduced store payroll and related benefits expenses of $12.4 million resulting from the various periods of store closures during the first half of the year and reduced staffing levels upon reopening of stores. Most other expenses were also reduced compared to last year. These expense reductions were partially offset by higher e-commerce marketing and fulfillment expenses of approximately $5.2 million associated with significant growth in e-commerce orders compared to last year.
  • Operating loss was $(20.7) million, or (9.7) percent of net sales, compared to operating income of $12.3 million, or 4.2 percent of net sales, last year. The decrease in operating results was primarily attributable to the impacts of COVID-19 on its business as noted above.
  • The income tax benefit was $7.8 million, or 39.3 percent of the pre-tax loss, compared to income tax expense of $3.7 million, or 27.1 percent of pre-tax income, last year. Income tax expense for both periods includes certain discrete items associated with employee stock-based award activity. The increase in the effective income tax rate for fiscal 2020 is primarily due to the anticipated benefit from the CARES Act, as previously noted.
  • Net loss was $(12.1) million, or $(0.41) per share, compared to net income of $10.0 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, last year.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity
As of August 1, 2020, the company had $148.9 million of cash and marketable securities, including $23.7 million borrowed under its credit facility and an aggregate of $13.9 million of withheld store lease payments. Excluding the cash borrowed under its credit facility and withheld store lease payments as a result of COVID-19, the company’s remaining cash and marketable securities would have totaled $111.3 million as of August 1, 2020, compared to $124.8 million with no borrowings under its credit facility and no withheld lease payments as of August 3, 2019 (the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2019). The company ended the second quarter of fiscal 2020 with merchandise inventories per square foot down 8.9 percent compared to last year. In response to COVID-19and the resulting current environment, the company has significantly reduced its future inventory commitments through the remainder of fiscal 2020.

Fiscal 2020 Third Quarter Business Update
At this time, the company cannot predict with any certainty what future customer traffic or comparable store net sales results will be in light of continuing uncertainties surrounding COVID-19, including but not limited to, its impacts on consumer behavior, the company’s ability to continue to operate some or all of its stores or its e-commerce business at any point in time, and the adverse impacts on the back-to-school season so far this year. As a result, the company cannot provide any specific sales or earnings guidance. However, the company is providing the following updates regarding its fiscal 2020 third-quarter business:

  • The company’s total net sales for fiscal August ended August 29, 2020, were $50.2 million, a decrease of $27.7 million, or 35.6 percent, compared to $77.9 million for fiscal August last year.
  • Net sales from physical stores, including all periods of store closures and net sales from new stores not yet open for a full year, were $36.6 million, a decrease of $31.6 million, or 46.3 percent compared to $68.3 million for the comparable period last year.
  • Net sales from e-commerce were $13.6 million, an increase of $4.0 million, or 40.6 percent compared to $9.6 million for the comparable period last year.
  • Net sales during the fiscal month of August have represented approximately 50 percent of third-quarter net sales for each of the past four fiscal years. However, in many school districts across the country this year, there have been significant delays in back-to-school dates and adjustments of some or all of their curriculum to an online or remote format. The first two weeks of fiscal August last year were the two highest net sales volume weeks of the third quarter, during which the company generated net sales of $49.1 million last year in a normal, healthy back-to-school season compared to $27.0 million for the same two weeks this year. This led to a highly negative start to the third quarter of fiscal 2020 in terms of comparable net sales for the company. Although comparable net sales remained highly negative for the rest of the month compared to last year, results improved trend-wise from week to week as the month progressed.
  • As noted previously, the company entered the third quarter of fiscal 2020 with 33 of its California-based stores closed as a result of government response to COVID-19. These closed stores represent 14 percent of the company’s current total store count and accounted for $22 million, or 14 percent, of total net sales during the third quarter of fiscal 2019. On August 28, 2020, the State of California issued new guidelines regarding the reopening of businesses in light of the ongoing pandemic, including significant restrictions on customer occupancy. In accordance with these new guidelines, the company reopened 15 of these stores on August 31, 2020, an additional six stores reopened on September 1, 2020, and one additional store reopened on September 2, 2020. At this time, the company expects to open one additional store on September 4, 2020. The company continues to monitor the latest guidelines from local, state and federal governments and health organizations to determine when the remaining 10 stores may be able to reopen but cannot predict with any certainty at this time when that may be.
  • Cumulative comparable store net sales in reopened stores have decreased 25.5 percent collectively since their respective reopening dates through September 1, 2020, compared to the respective comparable fiscal dates of last year.
  • As a result of the above factors, the company currently expects its fiscal 2020 third-quarter net sales to be significantly below the net sales of $154.8 million that the company reported for the third quarter of fiscal 2019.
  • As of September 2, 2020, the company had $161.9 million of cash and marketable securities, including $23.7 million borrowed under its credit facility and an aggregate of $14.0 million of withheld store lease payments. Excluding the cash borrowed under its credit facility and withheld store lease payments, the company’s remaining cash and marketable securities would have totaled $124.2 million as of September 2, 2020, compared to $165.5 million with no credit facility borrowings and no withheld store lease payments as of September 4, 2019, which is the comparable fiscal date last year. Based on all available current information, the company believes the combination of its cash, marketable securities, and credit facility availability will be more than sufficient to support its operations for at least the next twelve months.

Tillys currently operates 238 total stores (227 of which were open as of September 2, 2020), including one RSQ-branded pop-up store, across 33 states, as well as its website, tillys.com.

Photos courtesy Tilly’s