Relentless pressure by consumers for lower-priced athletic footwear abated somewhat in 2003, according to research by The NPD Group. Total spending increased 4.2%, from $15.693 billion to $16.354 billion, while total pairs purchased rose an almost identical 4.6%. The result was that the average price paid for a pair of athletic shoes in 2003 declined only 0.3%, to $36.48 from $36.61 the year before.
Despite the small gain in overall spending, athletic footwear outperformed the footwear industry as a whole. Total spending for footwear of all kinds fell 5% in 2002.

In 2002, the average price fell 4% from 2001. It has dropped 9% since 1998, when it was $40.07.

“Retailers in 2003 found they were able to attract consumers without offering the huge discounts that marked the year before,” said Gregg Hartley, vice president of SGMA International, which announced the results.

Consumers bought cautiously during the first half the 2003, with the result that total spending through June was no greater than the year before. But in the second half of 2003, consumers spent far more aggressively, driving up total sales for the last six months by 7.6%. “The sense of the industry is that this momentum has carried into the first quarter of 2004,” Hartley said.

“We are seeing more focus on product rather than price from the consumer, and this bodes well for the athletic footwear market,” said Marshall Cohen, industry analyst for The NPD Group. “It will take some effort by the retail community to adjust to the idea that price is not always the driving force in the market right now. People are interested in both fashion and function.”

Running remained the most popular shoe style, with 28% of the market in those stores that are most likely to offer performance styles, but spending for basketball styles rose to 23.3% of this market and continued to grow at a faster rate, The NPD Group reported. Spending for running styles in these key stores rose 2.2% in 2003 over 2002, compared to 6.2% for basketball styles. (NPD gathers point-of-sale data from athletic footwear and sporting goods stores, department stores and national chains to assemble information on style trends. These stores account for more than 50% of all athletic footwear spending. Consumer survey results and point-of-sale data from discount or off-price stores are not used in calculating the popularity of styles for various activities.)

Consumers reported that they purchased 448,276,000 pairs of athletic shoes in 2003, compared to 428,623,000 the year before. Spending for men’s shoes rose 2.2% in 2003 to $9.015 billion from $8.816 billion in 2002. Spending for women’s shoes rose 3.5% to $4.452 billion from $4.403 billion and spending for children’s shoes rose 11.8% to $16.354 billion from $15.693 billion. Average prices in 2003 for a pair of men’s shoes $45.76; for a pair of women’s, $35.19, and for a pair of children’s, $23.14.


U.S. ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR MARKET ESTIMATES
Consumer Spending in Billions of Dollars
  1999 2000 2001 2002
2003
Change
02-03
Men's $8.037 $8.366 $8.602 $8.816 9.015 +2.2%
Women's 4.194 4.313 4.312 4.303
4.452
+3.5%
Children's 2.327 2.348 2.398 2.574
2.877

+11.8%

TOTAL

$14.558

$15.027

$15.312

$15.
693

$16.354

+4.2%

Some totals affected by rounding.
Pairs Purchased in Million
  1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Change:
02-03
Men's 161.661 173.687 177.434 193.175
197.012
+8.9%
Women's 115.755 119.574 117.183 121.185
126.510
+3.4%
Children's 102.986 111.328 106.238 114.263
124.754
+7.5%
TOTAL 380.402 404.589 400.855 428.623
448.276
+6.9%
CONSUMER SPENDING BY QUARTER
in Billions of Dollars
  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2000 $3.432 $3.291 $4.024 $4.279
2001 3.838 3.454 3.967 4.053
2002 3.650 3.684 4.393 3.966

2003

$3.546

$3.813

$4.761

$4.233
Change

02-03
-2.8%
+3.5%

+8.4%

-6.7%

AVERAGE PRICE PER PAIR


1998
1999 2000 2001 2002
2003
Change:
02-03

$40.07
$38.27 $37.14 $38.20 $36.61
$36.48
-0.3%

Source: The NPD Group/NPD Fashionworld/Consumer Data Estimates

 


MARKET SHARE BY STYLE

Percentage of dollars spent in department stores, national chains, athletic specialty
and sporting goods stores.


Style

Share of Market,
2003

Change in Dollar
Volume, 02-03
Running 28.0% +2.2%
Basketball 23.3% +6.2%
Cross-training/fitness 9.6% -11.7%
Low performance 6.9% +19.7%
Walking 5.4% -15.3%
Tennis 5.3% +16.8%
Hiking 4.1% +7.6%
Sports sandals 1.9% +1.8%
Recreational boots 1.8% +6.3%
Skateboard 1.5% -8.8%
Aerobic 1.5% +9.9%
Baseball/Softball 1.2%
-1.2%
Soccer 1.1% +3.5%
All other 8.5%
-0.5%
Source: The NPD Group/NPD Fashionworld/Point of Sale   Note: The
data above is based upon actual sales reported to NPD by department
stores, national chains (such as J.C. Penney’s and Sears), athletic
footwear specialty chains and sporting goods stores.  These stores sell
more than 50% of all athletic footwear.  The data does not include sales
in discount stores (such as Wal-Mart, Kmart and Target) or off-price
stores.
Low performance = casual styles, often in
canvas or suede.

Recreational boots = Hunting, fishing, waterproof
All other = football, golf, volleyball, work/industrial styles, etc.